Friday, 9 March 2018

8 ways the UK is in trouble over Brexit

The EU's chief negotiator has made clear just how many barriers there are to a good outcome.
Michel Barnier, the EU's chief Brexit negotiator, gave a speech on Thursday morning setting straight some of the confused voices that he had heard from across the channel. The take home lessons: Barnier is well aware of the instability and weakness of the UK's position, and we should be under no illusions – Brexit is going to hurt. Here are some of the reasons why.

1. The UK has signalled its incompetence
Barnier explained that the EU has made three things clear, to reduce the uncertainty of Brexit.
First, “the free movement of persons, goods, services and capital are indivisible”. Second, “there can be no sector-by-sector participation in the single market – you cannot be half in and half out”. And third, “the EU must maintain full sovereignty for deciding regulations”.
These red lines preclude the “have cake and eat it” approach to Brexit. The government's inability to grasp the more basic elements of the negotiating process indicate that we are embarrassingly unprepared to negotiate a deal.

2. Barnier, and others, have noticed this signal
“These three points were already made clear by the European Council. But I am not sure whether they have been fully understood across the Channel,” he said.
“I have heard some people in the UK argue that one can leave the single market and keep all of its benefits – that is not possible. I have heard some people in the UK argue that one can leave the single market and build a customs union to achieve 'frictionless trade' – that is not possible.”
Barnier and others understand the confusion and incompetence of their negotiating partners.

3. Barnier is disdainful of Theresa May's approach
“For these negotiations to succeed, we will have to move through the successive stages one by one and keep our calm,” he said. ”There will never be any aggressiveness or arrogance on my part. And I recommend all to adopt the same attitude".
I can’t think of who this tongue-in-cheek comment might be directed at.
It's not just the Conservative government's understanding of Brexit's details, but their broad approach to the issue, that Barnier is concerned about.

4. Frictionless trade will be impossible after Brexit
“Only the combination of the internal market and the customs union guarantees the free movement of goods,” Barnier said.
“The internal market without the customs union – in other words the regime of the European Economic Area for Norway, for Iceland, for Liechtenstein – still entails a system of procedures and customs controls.
“Conversely, a customs union agreement without the internal market – as in the case of Turkey, also implies a system of procedures and customs controls.”

5.  “No deal” maximises friction
Barnier said “no deal” with Britain would mean returning to a distant past: “It would mean that our trade relations with the United Kingdom would be based on WTO rules. There would be customs duties of almost 10 per cent on vehicle imports, an average of 19 per cent for alcoholic beverages, and an average of 12 per cent on lamb and also fish, for which the vast majority of British exports go to the EU.”
He added: “While leaving the customs union would in any case involve border formalities, ‘no deal' would mean very cumbersome procedures and controls.”
For some UK firms, Barnier said, this would entail “keeping their products in stock for three or four days instead of a few hours, renting warehouse space and increased transport costs”.

6. The costs of “no deal” will be borne disproportionately by the UK
"In practice, no deal would worsen the lose-lose situation which is bound to result from Brexit,” Barnier said. “And I think, objectively, that the UK would have more to lose than its partners.”
He cut through the posturing of May and others about the UK's ability to accept a “no deal”. He is well aware that such a situation hurts the UK more than the EU27. By explicitly making this point, he indicated that he is fully aware of the corollary – that it will weaken the UK's bargaining position as Britain can less afford to walk away.

7. The EU27 is very united at the moment
“I would like to add a special message for each one of you... You have played your part in establishing all the ‘rules of the game' that enable our competitive social market economy to function, and it is you who uphold them on the field of play, with the diversity that exists between your groups,” Barnier told the European Economic and Social Committee.
His hopeful rhetoric and praise for the EU's solidarity echoes the mood across the continent: Eurosceptics are losing ground politically, and Brexit has galvanised the ties that bind the remaining members. The UK's weakness and instability comes at a time of EU strength.

8. Each of the EU27 will scrutinise the process

“I know that you will be vigilant – as I will – to ensure that any trade agreement with the United Kingdom will guarantee fair competition and the protections we regard as essential,” Barnier said.
This will shrink the UK's room to manoeuvre – it looks like it's going to be impossible for Britain to negotiate a deal that hurts even one of the EU's constituent members.

Artcile taken from

Saturday, 24 February 2018

Brexit: The Most Stupid Idea of the Century

Everything or almost everything has been said on the political and economic consequences of Brexit: possibility of Remain, Leave, number of jobs to be lost, falling pound, loss in GDP, borders and end of the European Union as we know it.
Everything, except perhaps, the political coup it represents. Everywhere in Europe, our leaders try to compensate a loss of political legitimacy by emotional blackmail and authoritarian postures. Looking at the campaign arguments on both sides, Brexit looks just like another ideological emotional communication campaign for the masses: “fear or fear not”.
We have to admit that referendum is (or was?) a formidable tool of democracy. Looking at popular initiatives, it allows Italian citizens, Swiss and Austrian, bringing together a predetermined number of signatures to hold a referendum on a proposed text. If the critical number of signature is reached, the Parliament opens the legislative debate by proposing the referendum.
This solution was also implemented in 2009 at EU level by the European citizens’ initiative. This opens the possibility for a million EU citizens to challenge the Commission as part of its prerogatives and to submit a legislative proposal. While being a model of participatory democracy on paper, ICE has quickly disappointed in practice as the Commission remains judge and party in the final decision.
We will see a certain irony in the fact that the Lisbon Treaty, which introduced ICE in European legislation, also opened the possibility for a Member State to withdraw from the Union.
The Brexit perfectly illustrates the lack of political responsibility ethics in favor of the illusion of participatory democracy and short term politician strategy.
The British referendum to be held on June 23 was born as a desperate spin from David Cameron during the 2013 campaign. Cornered by both the rise of UKIP and the reactionary nationalist wing of his own party, Cameron had fired at the time his last round of political credibility by promising a vote on the EU.
By inviting people to vote for or against keeping the country in the European Union without foreseeing the consequences in the short and medium term, the Prime Minister had affected not only participatory democracy but also the last vestiges of the European dream in Great Britain.
The referendum allows taking people hostage of a poor decision and monopolizing the political debate to bring them up to the extreme of the political spectrum artificially. The concessions obtained by Cameron since February 2016 are already significant and constitute a blow to the European model and its added value for Britain: reduced access to social benefits of EU citizens resident in the United Kingdom, end of the goal of “ever closer union”, veto power of national parliaments, recognition of several currencies in the European Union and the simplification of regulations with the limitation of the European ambition to one big free market. So what is the real interest, if not to ensure a political victory on the European stage, to propose such a choice to the Brits?
Here lies the real problem with Brexit: it is a very bad idea. There is absolutely nothing good for the UK in leaving the EU, while the EU Institutions are at a turning point in their own history.
Apart from the direct satisfaction of low nationalist instincts forgetful of the interconnection of our modern world, leaving the European Union will not improve the lives of British citizens. It may instead weaken the rights of workers and consumers. In addition, this artificial respiration imposed on partner countries was certainly not needed to renegotiate the terms of an agreement with the EU. In the same way that Brussels has folded on the refugee issue to preserve the scores of the CDU, EU sailed to the rhythm of the internal turmoil to the Conservative party. The 28 nations forming the EU advance in parallel at various paces on complex subjects. All the crises we face today exceed by far the simple power of an isolated nation. Negotiation and dialogue have been at the foundation of this strange assembly, unique in the world: a Union between consenting states, aware of their own limits.
The referendum on Brexit is another form of the nationalist contraction now raging in Europe: a reassuring chimera that avoids complex thinking and refuses to confront the world to come. Energy issues, the great migrations, climatic constraints, the reorganization of the financial markets, the digital transformation of work, finance and the free power of multinationals: how a small country like the UK or France can claim finding on its own positive solutions for its people?
Brexit or not, there will be only losers on the evening of June 23. A Prime Minister willing to sacrifice the economy of his country and its political legitimacy for what’s left of power to take, a European project destroyed by populist campaigns, and participatory democracy reduced to an illusion. When Europe will cease to exist, populism will have to look for other victims, leading us to a possible Peacexit.

Thursday, 22 February 2018

UK Government 'Braced For Unilever To Move HQ To Netherlands'

The British government is bracing for Unilever, which owns brands including Marmite and PG Tips, to shift its headquarters to the Netherlands after months of political pressure from both sides, the Financial Times reported on Wednesday.

Thursday, 8 February 2018

We Have A Plan

Its Not Too Late

We can actually still stop Brexit. However, it will not be easy. The Government is arguing that they are following the will of the people. No matter how hard we try and convince them using social media, polls, interviews or marches they will not change their mind. The only way that is possible is to show that majority of the UK Voting population are against Brexit.

How We Will Stop Brexit

So the question is how do we do it as they refuse to hold another referendum. The government has a useful online tool which allows UK citizens to sign a petition. Most good petitions get between 10,000 and 100,000 signatures. If we want to stop Brexit we need the majority of the voting population to sign this online petition. Once we do this will be undeniable proof that the UK does not want Brexit.

What We Need

The total number of people eligible to vote as on the day of the referendum was 46,499,537 and 72.2% of that number turned up. (33,572,665)
A Total of 17,410,742 Votes were cast to vote to leave.
If we can get over that number we could prove to the government that majority of the people want to stay in Europe.

What Next
Stage 1
Build Up Social Presence and Build Up Following
Stage 2
Set up online petition
Stage 3
Promote Petition and prove to the government more people want to Stay
Stage 4
Force the government to stop Brexit

9 Ways Britain Could Stay in the European Union

I have been looking around the web to see what people think we can do to stay in the EU. This is what I have so far. 

  1. 1. Public opinion changes
  2. Article 50 is revoked
  3. Another election … and then a referendum
  4. Remainers find their voice
  5. EU reform6. Labour Party
  6. Lib Dems gain ground
  7. Tory wars
  8. Rejoin at a later date

These are just some of the ideas we have. Our plan can help change Public Opinion, Force another election and give the Remainers a fair and equal voice.

What Can You Do To Help?

Social Media
- Join all our social media outlets
- Invite all your friends on all our social media outlets
- Like and Share posts you like on all social media you use
- Support our website by linking to it from your website
- Write articles for our website
- Visit our website on a regular basis
Online Petition
When we launch the petition make sure you sign and use all your influence to get everyone you know to sign. Remember we only have 6 months to prove that most of the UK wish to remain in the EU

8 ways the UK is in trouble over Brexit

The EU's chief negotiator has made clear just how many barriers there are to a good outcome. Michel Barnier, the EU's chief B...